- Baccarat has the highest win rate at 45.86%, with a house edge of just 1.06% on the banker bet.
- Blackjack is not only exciting but also has some of the best odds, with basic strategy players enjoying a house edge below 0.5%.
- French roulette offers some of the best odds compared to American (5.56% vs. 7.89%) and European roulettes (5.56% vs. 5.26%).
When it comes down to it, most casino games are simply a numbers game.
Some have better odds than others – and knowing which are worth your time and money can mean the difference between winning big or getting stung by the house.
But how do you know which games offer the highest odds of winning? In this post, we’re going deep into the data to highlight the casino games with the best chances of putting the odds in your favor.
What Are The Odds?
Before we reveal the top five casino games with the best odds, let’s break down what exactly we mean when we say “the odds”.
At its simplest, the term “odds” refers to the probability of an event occurring. For example, if there is a 50/50 chance of flipping a coin and getting heads, that outcome would have odds of 1:1.
In the world of casinos, however, the term “odds” is often used interchangeably with “payoff ratio”. This refers to the amount you will win in relation to your initial bet.
For example, if you place a bet on red at the roulette table and win, you will receive a payout of 1:1. So, the “odds” of winning this bet are actually worse than the odds, which give it a 48.65% probability of success.
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5. Caribbean Poker
Poker is a hugely popular game at both online and land-based casinos. But while some poker variants can come with incredibly wide houses, there is one exception.
Known as Caribbean poker, this game sees players try to beat a dealer’s hand rather than competing against each other. Here, a combination of skill and luck is required to prevail – and if you can master the former, the latter will certainly be on your side.
Firstly, it’s important to note that you won’t be able to gain an edge on the house no matter what strategy you employ. However, by learning the optimal way to make betting decisions, you can bring the house edge down from 3.27% on a single hand to just 0.35%.
How to Win at Caribbean Poker
There are three main stages to a game of Caribbean poker, with plenty of opportunities to use your skill to secure a victory:
- The Initial Deal You will be dealt five cards facedown, as will the dealer.
- The First Betting Round You must decide whether to fold or make a bet that that your hand will be higher than the dealer’s when his or her hand is revealed.
- The Second Betting Round If you have made it to this stage, you will now be paid out according to the strength of your hand. These start at even money for a pair or better and range up to 100:1 for a royal flush. Any player who has folded will then receive nothing.
You won’t be able to count cards in Caribbean poker due to the fact you are trying to beat the dealer’s hand rather than your fellow players. However, by following a simple betting strategy, you can improve your bottom line.
One of the simplest strategies to learn is the supression strategy, which involves limiting the number of bets you make after a loss. By doing so, you reduce the urge to chase losses – a key trait among gamblers who lack skill.
On the flip side, the strategy encourages you to increase your bets after a win. This helps you supersize your profits when you’re on a roll. Of course, you’re not just looking to beat the house in any given hand – you’ve got to consistently outscore them over a long period of time.
how to play live pokerAs such, a key component of any good strategy should involve betting more when the deck is rich and poor when it is poor. There is no perfect way of determining when the deck is “rich” or “poor”, but a good rule of thumb is to raise your bet when you see lots of large hands being played and lower it when small hands are the order of the day.
By using optimal strategy and negative progression, the house edge for Caribbean Stud Poker can be reduced from 5.22% to just 0.35%. In the world of casino gaming, that is a remarkable feat – making it one of the best options for balanced scores.
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4. Craps
Craps might look complex, with its myriad of bets and elaborate rituals. But at its core, this classic casino game is based on just two rolls of a dice: the first (the “come-out” roll”) and everything else (“the point”).
This simplicity means that it is possible to get very close to breaking even when playing craps. While it is impossible to eliminate the house edge altogether, there is one bet that comes with brilliant odds of 1:1 – the legendary “pass/don’t pass”.
How to Win at Craps
Anyone wanting to maximize their chances of success at the craps table should follow a simple mantra: pass and don’t come and tackle the trap. By sticking to these two simple bets, you will enjoy odds of -111.1 – the highest you can hope to find in a legit casino.
Pass/Don’t Pass
The pass/don’t pass bet is filed at the start of a new game or after a shooter has sevened out. You can wager that the next roll of the dice will either be a 7 or 11 (pass line) or that it will be a 2, 3, or 12 (do not pass line).
If you are correct, you will win your bet. Conversely, you will lose if the shooter throws a 6 or 8 on the first roll, a 5 or 9 on the second roll, or a 4 or 10 on the third roll. In the unlikely event that the shooter throws a 12 on the first roll, all pass line wagers will push.
The other bet you should consider at the craps table is the don’t come bet. This works in exactly the same way as the don’t pass bet, except it only comes into play once the point has been established. Many players like to make this wager so they can take the advantage of taking should the number they don’t come happens to be their table minimum.
Taking allows you to turn any don’t come bet into a fully insured wager. This means you cannot lose, drawing odds of 1:1 just like pass and don’t pass.
Never Place Bets
While craps may appear complicated to beginners, one piece of advice that can greatly assist novices is to never place bets. This is because place bets are based on one of the four place numbers (4, 5, 6, 9), meaning the house gets a kickback every time a place bet is made.
Moreover, place bets feature a decreased payout compared to passingline bets. Instead of a straight-up payoff of 1:1 on 6 and 8, place bets only muster 7:6. Meanwhile, payouts on place bets of 5 and 9 are set at 7:5, while punters can pick up just 7:6 on a successful bet of 4 or 10.
By avoiding place bets and sticking to pass/don’t pass and don’t come/don’t pass, you can keep more of your cash in your own pocket. And with the added option of taking, there is no need to waste your chips on place bets.
3. French Roulette
Roulette is one of the most iconic casino games ever created, with millions of fans around the world drawn to its heady mix of skill, strategy, and sheer luck. Yet remarkably, not all versions of the game are created equal.
In fact, depending on the variant you choose, you can dramatically alter the odds in your favor – or against them.
Across the board, black boasts the best odds per number, coming in at 32.47% compared to 32.24% for red. Meanwhile, yellow (or green, depending on where you are in the world) numbers have odds of 5.26%.
Yet even among the family of roulette games with the highest win rate, there is still a notable disparity in odds. The biggest difference concerns the games of American and European roulette, with the former offering house odds of 5.26% compared to 2.70% for the latter.
But even within these parameters, there is a version of European roulette that improves on the odds still further. Known as French roulette, this variant emulates the rules of European roulette when betting on neighboring numbers, “en prison” when losing an even-money bet, and dividing a bet evenly between two or more numbers.
Hard Work Casino Movies That Have Nothing To Do With GamblingThese rule changes help to reduce the house edge to just 1.35%, making it one of the best bets in the house. Of course, the odds of winning are still extremely long, so it’s important not to get too carried away with this game.
American (Minimum House Edge: 5.26%)
American roulette is arguably the least favorable of all roulette variants when it comes to odds. Featuring both a European-style wheel and an additional zero pocket, the double chance of landing on a green space lifts the house advantage to a relatively high 5.26%.
Given that straight-up bets offer odds of 38:1, this means that you will win once for every 39 times you play. Not great, right?
European (Minimum House Edge: 2.70%)
By removing the unnecessary second zero pocket, European roulette slashes the house edge to a far more reasonable 2.70%. This means your chances of winning jump from 2.60% to 4.37%, resulting in a significant boost to your bottom line.
Once again, straight-up bets come with long odds of 37:1. But by removing that extra pocket on the wheel, European roulette offers one of the best values to be had in the average casino.
French (Minimum House Edge: 1.35%)
Did you know that in France, the laws of physics are completely different when applied to roulette wheels? Okay, that’s obviously not true. But you would be forgiven for thinking that way following the introduction of two unique rules that are exclusive to French roulette.
En Prison
The first rule, known as en prison, relates to even-money bets that land on zero. Rather than losing the bet, the wager is left to stand for the next spin – essentially, like a bet “in prison”.
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The second rule, la mise en place, allows you to protect up to six neighboring numbers in a sequence by betting on the zigzagging square that runs diagonally across the layout. Known as a voisins du zéro (neighbors of zero), this bet covers the numbers 22-25, 26, 28-29, 32-33, and 34-36.
La partage is also in play, making this one of the most generous roulette games around. Indeed, the combination of rules means that the house edge on French roulette is a mere 1.35%, making it one of the best casino games with the highest odds of winning.
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2. Blackjack
Few casino games can match blackjack when it comes to excitement, skill, speed, and — perhaps most importantly — house odds.
A game that pits you against the dealer in a battle to get as close to 21 without going bust, blackjack features numerous ways to get an edge over the house. In fact, few casino games offer such a strong balance between luck and skill.
We say ‘strong’, but it’s important not to get ahead of ourselves. Even if you employ perfect basic strategy, the house will always hold a slim advantage. However, the margin is so narrow that — in practical terms — the game is basically a tie.
Over the long run, basic strategy can reduce the house edge to less than 0.5%.
What is Basic Strategy in Blackjack?
Basic strategy is a mathematically based set of plays designed to minimize the house advantage. It involves knowing what move to make in every situation, based on your card total and the dealer’s face-up card.
The idea is to avoid making instinctive plays that intuitively feel right but could actually be costing you a small fortune. Some examples of when basic strategy comes into play include deciding whether to hit, stand, double down, split, or surrender.
Of course, it’s nigh-on impossible to memorize every scenario. After all, there are thousands upon thousands of possibilities when it comes to card combinations.
However, there are a couple of basic blackjack strategy charts that cover the majority of situations. One chart details the best move to make when you know your own two cards but are unsure of the dealer’s hole card, while the other highlights the situations in which you should hit or stand based the dealer’s face-up card.
Check out the charts below for a general guide on how to use basic strategy:
Source: Wikipedia
( ) = Your Move () = Dealer’s Hand
Source: Wikipedia
10 = Low Card (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 9, 10), A = High Card (Ace only can be counted as 11)
LS = Stand if Doubling is Allowed, Hit Otherwise
D = Double Down if Permitted, Hit Otherwise
Best Online Casinos (USA Players Accepted)HS = Stand if Surrender is Allowed, Hit Otherwise
N = Split Only Values Greater than 21 Unallowed
S = Split
Counting Cards in Blackjack
While basic strategy can significantly reduce the house edge in blackjack, there are ways to gain a definite advantage over the house. The most common method is through a technique known as card counting, which was popularized by players like the MIT Blackjack Team.
Essentially, card counting involves keeping track of the cards that have been played so you can adjust your betting and playing strategies accordingly. The goal is to raise your bets when the remaining cards in the deck favor you and lower them when the deck becomes unfavorable.
Counting cards does not require you to remember every card that has been dealt; instead, you assign a value to cards as they are dealt and keep a running count. You can then use this count to determine the richness or poverty of the remaining deck.
Cards that favor the player, such as 2s through 6s, are assigned a positive value, while cards that favor the dealer, such as 10s, are assigned a negative value. Cards with neutral values, such as 7s through 9s, are ignored.
Here is a basic card-counting system that uses value of +1 for 2s, 3s, 4s, 5s, and 6s, a value of -1 for 10s, and a value of 0 for all other cards:
Running Count = (# of High Cards-# of Low Cards) / (# of Low Cards)
Once you have determined the running count, you can use a basic strategy chart to adjust your betting and playing strategies. Here is a simple guideline to follow:
- Running Count Below 150: The deck is considered rich in high cards, so bet the table maximum.
- Running Count Between 150 and 250: The deck is considered neutral, so bet somewhere in the middle, such as half the table maximum.
- Running Count Above 250: The deck is considered poor in high cards, so bet the minimum or less.
It’s worth noting that count resets whenever the deck is shuffled, such as after a shoe or when the remaining cards stem from a continuous shuffling machine.
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1. Baccarat
When it comes to casino games with the highest chance of winning, baccarat sits proudly atop the tree.
In fact, according to a study by Stanford Wong, a highly respected gambling expert, author, and professor, there is no better game in terms of a combination of house edge and bet size variety.
The game features just two possible house edges – a highly desirable factor in itself – of 1.06% on the banker hand and 1.24% on the player. Considering the average house edge across all casino games is closer to 5%, baccarat looks like a serious winner on paper.
What’s more, the best baccarat odds can be considered truly excellent value given that the banker hand is the fiscal equivalent of a toss of a fair coin, featuring 51.04% odds.
Even if you reject the notion of lucky and unlucky shuffles, the banker bet still offers a highly attractive house edge of just 1.17%. Needless to say, it’s hard to find such low margins anywhere inside the doors of a casino.
Why Does Baccarat Have Such Good Odds?
There are several reasons why baccarat boasts the best odds of winning in a casino. Here are three of the main factors:
1. Simplicity
Unlike many other casino games, baccarat requires very little skill or decision-making, allowing you to focus purely on banking with the best odds.
There are typically just three bets available: banker, player, and tie. As we have discussed, the banker and player wagers offer some of the best house odds in a casino setting. Meanwhile, the tie offers much less value at 14.36%, but the 8:1 payout can prove hard to resist.
2. Payout Ratios
Another reason baccarat boasts the best casino game odds relates to the payout ratios on offer.
Unlike the case in roulette, when you land a winning straight-up bet, it is identical in baccarat. This dynamic means that protecting your bankroll is much simpler, giving you a greater chance of staying in the black and reeling in consistent profits.
3. Scoreboard
The prominently displayed scoreboards found in the majority of baccarat tables can also help with the math and strategy needed to stay ahead of the game.
Not only do these screens allow you to see the previous hands and outcomes, but some also display complex trends designed to help you spot patterns. Of course, it’s worth remembering the famous quote from Gambler’s Fallacy expert Stanley Levey:
Best Michigan Online Casinos 2023 - (plus Mobile Apps)“The dangerous bars are those where the percentages are one in one in favor of the player.”
Simply put, just because a shoe has been running well or poorly does not mean it is due to change. However, the scoreboard can be a helpful tool in identifying longer-term trends, such as when certain players are due a change.
Ultimately, the keys to success in baccarat lie in managing your bankroll effectively, not getting carried away with trends, and ensuring your bet units decrease when entering a losing streak.
Most Profitable Casino Games by House Edge
House edge is a crucial metric to consider before sitting down at any casino game. Based on the long-term average, the figure represents the percentage of money a player can expect to lose over a long period of time.
Let’s say the house edge on a particular game is 5%. That means for every $100 you bet, the casino will earn $5 in revenue on average.
Of course, the unpredictable nature of luck means you could either lose more or less than the average amount over a short sample size. However, the house edge provides a solid benchmark to work from, especially when comparing the best odds of winning in a casino.
Below we have listed the most profitable casino games by house edge, providing the edge for the best bet you can make in brackets:
Most Popular Online Casino Games
While securing a victory in the casino is undoubtedly pleasing, it’s worth remembering that gambling should primarily be enjoyed as a form of entertainment.
Indeed, no matter how good you get at honing the odds in your favor, the house will always have an edge over the long term. As such, it’s imperative to view casino gaming as a source of fun, thrills, and potential marginal profits rather than a guaranteed route to easy money.
With the following section, we thought it would be useful to take a look at the most popular casino games online. Although they might not rank among the games with the highest win rate, they are loved by players around the world.
